The market, built from the bottom up
A share of the eligible population, not a share of the market.
333,830
New United States prostate cancer diagnoses in 2026
~26,700
Diagnosed at distant stage, being eight per cent of new cases
~89,000
Annual incident metastatic pool. The CDC finds seventy per cent of men with metastatic disease were first diagnosed localised
~71,000
PSMA positive, the biomarker being present in more than eighty per cent of prostate cancer patients
<5%
The share of that eligible pool Aletheia treats at full build
Sources: American Cancer Society, Cancer Statistics 2026; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention analysis of metastatic prostate cancer; Novartis media release, 31 July 2026. This plan does not require winning the market. It requires a small share of a market whose binding constraint is licensed sites rather than eligible patients.